Paypal first quarter results
Q1’20: Solid results as the economy rapidly changed
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20.2 million net new active accounts added, including a one-time addition of 10.2 million in January from the acquisition of Honey; 10 million net new actives added–a Q1 record
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18% TPV growth (19% FX-neutral); 12% revenue growth (13% FX-neutral)
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GAAP EPS of $0.07 and non-GAAP EPS of $0.66; includes $0.17 negative impact from increasing credit loss reserves due to revised macroeconomic projections
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$1.5 billion in cash flow from operations with $1.3 billion in free cash flow
Q2’20: Accelerating April business trends driving strong Q2 outlook
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7.4 million net new active accounts added in April ’20 growing 135%; ~250,000 daily net new active accounts added, on average
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April ’20 revenue grew ~17% (~20% FX-neutral growth); expect ~15% FX-neutral revenue growth for Q2’20
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Expect GAAP EPS to decline by 28%–34% and non-GAAP EPS to grow by 15%–20%
Q1’20 Results
PayPal delivered revenue growth of 12% (13% on a foreign- currency neutral basis or FX-neutral or FXN); 17% (18% FXN) growth through February with 3% (5% FXN) growth in March; April revenue growth of ~17% (~20% FXN)
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On February 27, PayPal updated its Q1’20 revenue outlook indicating an
~1% reduction in revenue growth, relative to the guidance provided on January 29, based primarily on COVID-19’s impact on international cross- border e-commerce.
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In March, the deteriorating environment resulting from COVID-19 further impacted PayPal’s business, affecting both volumes and revenue generated from travel and events verticals as well as impacting credit income.
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GAAP and non-GAAP operating income was reduced by a $237 million increase in credit loss reserves due to revised macroeconomic projections.
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On a diluted EPS basis, the increase in credit loss reserves negatively affected GAAP and non-GAAP EPS by $0.17.
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GAAP EPS was also negatively impacted by approximately $0.22 per diluted share from taxes primarily related to the acquisition of Honey, and $0.07 per diluted share of net unrealized losses (versus $0.12 of unrealized gains in Q1’19), driven primarily by PayPal’s strategic investment in MercadoLibre.
Q1 2020 Results 2
|
GAAP |
Non-GAAP | |||
|
USD $ |
YoY Change |
USD $ |
YoY Change | |
| Net Revenues |
$4.62B |
12% |
$4.62B |
12% |
| Operating Income |
$0.4B |
(23%) |
$0.9B |
(3%) |
| EPS |
$0.07 |
(87%) |
$0.66 |
—% |
Key Financial and Operating Metrics
Q1’20 Financial Highlights
Solid performance across financial metrics
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Revenue of $4.62 billion, growing 12% on a spot basis and 13% FXN.
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GAAP operating margin of 8.6% with non-GAAP operating margin of 19.7%. Credit loss reserves increased by $237 million due to revised macroeconomic projections.
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GAAP EPS of $0.07, decreasing 87%; non-GAAP EPS of $0.66, flat to last year.
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GAAP and non-GAAP EPS include $0.17 of negative impact from increased credit loss reserves due to macroeconomic projections.
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GAAP EPS also includes a net unrealized loss of $0.07 on strategic investments, driven primarily by MercadoLibre (NASDAQ: MELI).
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GAAP EPS also includes an approximate $0.22 of negative impact from taxes primarily related to the acquisition of Honey.
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Repurchased approximately 7.5 million shares of common stock, returning $800 million to stockholders.
Q1’20 Operating Highlights
Double-digit customer growth driving increased engagement
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20.2 million net new active accounts, bringing total active accounts to 325 million accounts, up 17%.
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A Q1 record of 10 million net new active accounts added with a one-time addition of 10.2 million net new active accounts in January from the acquisition of Honey.
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3.3 billion payment transactions, up 15%. ~1.2 billion payment transactions in April, up 20%.
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$191 billion in total payment volume (TPV), up 18% and 19% FXN.
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26% growth through February with 7% growth in March; April at ~22% growth FXN.
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Merchant Services volume grew 20% and 21% FXN.
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Venmo processed more than $31 billion of TPV, growing 48%.
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39.4 payment transactions per active account on a trailing twelve months basis, up 4%.
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Excluding the net new active accounts related to Honey, 40.7 payment transactions per active account on a trailing twelve months basis, up 7%.
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Balance Sheet and Liquidity
Strong balance sheet and cash-flow generation
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PayPal’s cash, cash equivalents, and investments totaled $12.6 billion as of March 31, 2020. PayPal closed the acquisition of Honey in January using approximately $3.6 billion in cash to fund the purchase.
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PayPal’s long-term debt totaled $8.0 billion as of March 31, 2020.
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PayPal drew down $3.0 billion from its revolving credit facilities in March 2020.
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In the first quarter, PayPal generated cash flow from operations of $1.5 billion and free cash flow of $1.3 billion.
April ‘20 Results
Accelerating April business trends
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7.4 million net new active accounts, growing 135%; ~250,000 daily net new active accounts added, on average.
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~1.2 billion payment transactions, up 20%.
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~$68 billion in TPV, up ~20% on a spot basis and ~22% on an FX-neutral basis.
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~17% revenue growth or ~20% on an FX-neutral basis. Strength in PayPal and Venmo checkout experiences were partially offset by lower revenue from travel and events verticals and credit.
Supporting Customers Impacted by COVID-19
PayPal is helping its customers affected by COVID-19
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Participating in the U.S. Small Business Administration’s Paycheck Protection Program to provide access to funding to small businesses.
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Enabling customers to receive U.S. Department of the Treasury stimulus payments through PayPal and Venmo.
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Granting deferral of repayments on business loans and cash advances at no additional cost.
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Waiving certain fees for merchants through at least May 31, 2020.
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Increasing the dispute resolution window to give merchants more time to respond to customer disputes.
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In partnership with Mastercard, doubled the instant cash back reward on all PayPal Business Debit Mastercard purchases for the month of April.
Q1 2020 Results 5
Q1’20 Financial and Operating Highlights
| Presented in millions, except per share data and percentages |
FX-Neutral Q1 2020 Q1 2019 YoY Growth YoY Growth |
||||
| Total Payment Volume (TPV) |
$190,567 |
$161,492 |
$29,075 |
18% |
19% |
| GAAP | |||||
| Net revenues |
$4,618 |
$4,128 |
$490 |
12% |
13% |
| Operating margin |
8.6% |
12.5% |
** |
(393bps) |
N/A |
| Effective tax rate |
68.1% |
7.0% |
** |
61.1pts |
N/A |
| Net income |
$84 |
$667 |
($583) |
(87%) |
N/A |
| Earnings per diluted share |
$0.07 |
$0.56 |
($0.49) |
(87%) |
N/A |
| Net cash provided by operating activities |
$1,504 |
$1,027 |
$477 |
46% |
N/A |
| Non-GAAP | |||||
| Net revenues |
$4,618 |
$4,128 |
$490 |
12% |
13% |
| Operating margin |
19.7% |
22.6% |
** |
(296bps) |
N/A |
| Effective tax rate |
12.4% |
17.5% |
** |
(5.1pts) |
N/A |
| Net income |
$786 |
$786 |
— |
—% |
N/A |
| Earnings per diluted share |
$0.66 |
$0.66 |
— |
—% |
N/A |
| Free cash flow |
$1,298 |
$809 |
$489 |
60% |
N/A |
** Not meaningful
Q1 2020 Results 6
Financial Guidance
Full Year 2020 Revenue and Earnings Guidance
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PayPal is withdrawing its full year 2020 revenue and earnings guidance.
Second Quarter 2020 Revenue and Earnings Guidance
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PayPal expects revenue to grow ~13% at current spot rates and ~15% FXN.
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PayPal expects GAAP EPS to decline by 28%–34% and non-GAAP EPS to grow by 15%–20%.
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GAAP and non-GAAP earnings per diluted share exclude the impact of incremental credit loss reserves due to macroeconomic projections.
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GAAP earnings per diluted share guidance does not include any expectation of unrealized gains or losses from PayPal’s strategic investment portfolio in the second quarter of 2020.
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In the second quarter of 2019, GAAP earnings per diluted share included approximately $0.14 of net unrealized gains from PayPal’s strategic investment portfolio.
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Estimated non-GAAP amounts for the three months ending June 30, 2020, reflect adjustments of approximately
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$465–$525 million, including estimated stock-based compensation expense and related payroll taxes in the range of
$310–$330 million.
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The dilutive impact of the acquisitions of Honey and GoPay is estimated to be in the range of $0.10–$0.12 on GAAP earnings per diluted share, and an estimated $0.02–$0.04 on non-GAAP earnings per diluted share.
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Please see “Non-GAAP Financial Measures” and “Non-GAAP Measures of Financial Performance” for important additional information.
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On an FX-neutral basis
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Non-GAAP EPS and Free Cash Flow are non-GAAP financial measures. Please refer to the “Reconciliation of Operating Cash Flow to Free Cash Flow and Adjusted Free Cash Flow” for a reconciliation of this non-GAAP financial measure to the most directly comparable GAAP financial measure.
